1994 and Earlier Preprints

A Note on Testing Exogeneity of Instrumental Variables

Judea Pearl

A Poisson Fishing Model

Thomas S. Ferguson

A Problem in Minimax Estimation With Directional Information

Thomas S. Ferguson

A Stochastic Model for Analysis of Longitudinal AIDS Data

Jeremy M. G. Taylor, W.G. Cumberland, and J.P. Sy

An Algorithm for Deciding if a Set of Observed Independencies Has a Causal Explanation

Thomas Verma, Judea Pearl

Aspects of Graphical Models Connected with Causality

Judea Pearl

Asymptotic Bayes Criteria for Nonparametric Response Surface Design

Toby Mitchell, Jerome Sacks, and Donald Ylvisaker

Belief Networks Revisited

Judea Pearl

Causal Diagrams for Empirical Research

Judea Pearl

Causal Inference from Indirect Experiments

Judea Pearl

Counterfactual Probabilities: Computational Methods, Bounds, and Applications

Judea Pearl

Exploratory Data Graphics for Repeated Measures Data

Robert E. Weiss

G-Optimal Designs for Multi-Factor Experiments with Heteroscedastic Errors

Weng-Kee Wong

Graphical Models, Causality, and Intervention

Judea Pearl

Lecture Notes: Decomposition of Multivariables Using State-Space Models

Jan de Leeuw

Manipulating the Regression Line with Xlisp-Stat

Jason Bond

Mediating Instrumental Variables

Judea Pearl

Multilevel Path Analysis

Jan de Leeuw

Nonparametric Bounds on Causal Effects from Partial Compliance Data

Alexander Balke, Judea Pearl

On the Identification of Nonparametric Structural Models

Judea Pearl

A Study of Distribution for the Response Time of LA Taxicab

Guanhan Liu

Analysis of Public-Use Data with Multiply-Imputed Industry and Occupation Codes

Nathaniel Schenker, Donald J. Treiman, and Lynn Weidman

Augmentation Algorithms for Mixed Model Analysis

Jan de Leeuw, Guanghan Liu

Chance and the Death Penalty

Richard Berk, Robert Weiss, and Jack Boger

Comparing Robust Properties of A, D, E and G-Optimal Designs

Weng-Kee Wong

Conjugate Gradient Acceleration of the EM Algorithm

Mortaza Jamshidian, Robert Jennrich

Conjugate Gradient Methods in Confirmatory Factor Analysis

Mortaza Jamshidian, Robert Jennrich

Designing Studies for Dose Response

Weng-Kee Wong, Peter A. Lachenbruch

Fitting Categorical Time Series

Stef van Buuren, Jan de Leeuw

Fitting Distances by Least Squares

Jan de Leeuw

Heteroscedastic G-optimal Designs

Weng Kee Wong, R. Dennis Cook

Influence Diagnostics with the Gibbs Sampler

Robert E. Weiss

Least Squares Optimization of Linear Dynamic Systems Using Majorization, Multiplier and Quasi-Newton Methods

F.D. Bijleveld, C.C.J.H. Bijleveld, Jan de Leeuw, and Siem Oppe

Looking for Remarkable Results

Jan de Leeuw

Measuring the Impact of Water Conservation Campaigns

Richard Berk, Daniel Schulman, Matthew McKeever, and Howard E. Freeman

Minimal Number of Support Points for Min-Max Optimal Designs

Weng-Kee Wong

Minimax and Maximin Distance Designs for Computer Experiments with Derivative Information

Toby Mitchell, Max Morris, and Donald Ylvisaker

Multiple Imputation for Threshold-Crossing Data with Interval Censoring

Fredierick J. Dorey, Roderick J.A. Little, and Nathaniel Schenker

On Re-censoring for Censored Paired Data

J.J. Lee, K.C. Li, and R.M. Elashoff

A Direct Numerical Method for Minimum Trace Factor Analysis

Mortaza Jamshidian, Peter Bentler

A Graphical Case Statistic for Assessing Posterior Influence

Robert E. Weiss, R. Dennis Cook

A Look Back at TARO

Donald Ylvisaker

A Statistical Semantics for Causation

Judea Pearl, T.S. Verman

A Unified Approach to Mini-Max Designs Construction

Weng-Kee Wong

Accelerated Failure Time Regression Model with a Regression Model of Surviving Fraction: An Application to the Analysis of RPermanent EmploymentS in Japan

Kazuo Yamaguchi

Additive Logistic Elliptical Distributions

Kai-Tai Fang, Peter Bentler, and Chih-Ping Chou

An Approach to Fixed Factor Analysis

Rien van der Leeden, Ab Mooijaart, and Jan de Leeuw

An Inventory of Undergraduate Statistics Courses at UCLA

Ita G. G. Kreft

Analysis of Correlation Structures of Scale Invariant Models

Mortaza Jamshidian

Equality Constraints in Multiple Correspondence Analysis

Stef van Buuren, Jan de Leeuw

Exactness of the Laplace Approximation for Bayesian Marginal Calculations

Robert E. Weiss

Factor Analysis for Clustered Observations

Bengt. O. Muthen

Geometrical Aspects of Multiple Correspondence Analysis: Implications for the Coordinate Scaling Debate

Donna L. Hoffman, Jan de Leeuw

Lotto Play: The Good, the Fair and the Truly Awful

Dan Kadell, Donald Ylvisaker

Model Selection: A Bayesian Diagnostic Approach

Robert E. Weiss

Modeling Prospective Duration: Gender Differences in Worker Intention to Remain in an Organization

Kazuo Yamaguchi, Lynne G. Zucker, Anna Y. Leon-Guerrero, and Mark W. Plant

On Principal Hessian Directions for Data Visualization and Dimension Reduction: Another Application of Stein's Lemma

Ker-Chau Li

A Bias Bound for Applying Linear Regression to a General Linear Model

Ker-Chau Li, Naihua Duan

A Quasi-Exact Test for Comparing Two Binomial Proportions

Karim F. Hirji, Shu-Jane Tau, and Robert Elashoff

An Imputation Method for Dealing with Missing Data in Regression

Jan de Leeuw, Aram G. Sogomonian, and Lee G. Cooper

Applying Logistic Regression to Choice-Based and Supplementary Samples for the Prediction of MBA Matriculation and Persistence

Bengt O. Muthén, Michael Hollis, Linda Muthén, and Tammy Tan

Axioms and Algorithms for Inferences Involving Probabilistic Independence

Dan Geiger, Azaria Paz, and Judea Pearl

Cross-sectional and Dynamic Analyses of the Concomitants of Police Behavior

Catrien C. J. H. Bijleveld, Eric H. Monkkonen

Estimates of AIDS Incubation Periods from Convenience Samples

Paul R. Abramson, Richard Berk

Estimating the Ratio of Parameters in Ordinal Response Regression Models

Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Fitting Reduced Rank Regression Models by Alternating Maximum Likelihoods

Jan de Leeuw

Logit and Multinomial Logit Models for Discrete-Time Event-History Analysis: An Exploratory Causal Analysis of Interdependent Discrete-State Processes

Kazuo Yamaguchi

Model Based Rankings of Schools

Jan de Leeuw

Multilevel Factor Analysis of Class and Student Achievement Components

Bengt O. Muthén

Reduced Rank Models for Contingency Tables

Jan de Leeuw, Peter van der Heijden

A Comparison of Multiple-Imputation Procedures Under Model Misspecification

Laura Lazzeroni, Nathaniel Schenker, and Jeremy M. G. Taylor

A Latent Time-Budget Model

Jan de Leeuw, Peter G.M. van der Heijden, and Peter Verboon

A Primer on Robust Regression

Richard Berk

Analysis of Longitudinal Data Using Latent Variable Models with Varying Parameters

Bengt O. Muthén

Comparative Fit Indices in Structural Models

Peter Bentler

Comparing Four Different Statistical Packages for Hierarchical Linear Regression: GENMOD, HLM, ML2, and VARCL

Jan de Leeuw, Kyung-Sung Kim

Drug Use, Prostitution and the Prevalence of AIDS

Richard Berk

Estimating the Distribution of Times from HIV Seroconversion to AIDS Using Multiple Imputation

Jeremy M. G. Taylor, Alvaro Munoz, Sue M. Bass, Joan S. Chmiel, Lawrence A. Kingsley, and Alfred J. Saah

Homophily and Social Distance in the Choice of Multiple Friends: An Analysis Based on Conditionally Symmetric Log-Bilinear Association Models

Kazuo Yamaguchi

Information Theory and an Extension of the Maximum Likelihood Principle by Hirotogu Akaike

Jan de Leeuw

Mean and Covariance Structure Analysis of Hierarchical Data

Bengt O. Muthén

Minimax and Maximin Distance Designs

Mark Johnson, Leslie Moore, and Donald Ylvisaker

Model Conditions for Asymptotic Robustness in the Analysis of Linear Relations

Albert Satorra, Peter Bentler

Signed-Rank Tests for Censored Matched Pairs

Dorota M. Dabrowska

Standard Errors for the Means of Proficiencies in NAEP: Jackknife Versus Variance Components

Nicholas T. Longford

An Evaluation of the UCLA AIDS Course

Paul R. Abramson, Joan C. Sekler, Richard Berk, and Monique Clowd

Correspondence Analysis, with Special Attention to the Analysis of Panel Data and Event History Data

Peter van der Heyden, Jan de Leeuw

Factor Structure in Groups Selected on Observed Scores

Bengt O. Muthen

Latent Variable Modeling in Heterogeneous Populations

Bengt O. Muthen

A Comparison of Some Methodologies for the Factor Analysis of Non-Normal Likert Variables: A Note on the Size of the Model

Bengt O. Muthén, David Kaplan

Data Modeling and Theory Construction

Jan de Leeuw

Linear Dynamical Systems Analysis by Alternating Least Squares

Jan de Leeuw, Catrien Bijleveld

On the Minimax Approach to Overcoming Prior Uncertainty and Application to Pattern Recognition Problems

Alexander Alexander

On the Statistical Interpretation of Structural Equations

Judea Pearl

On the Use of Closed-Form Solutions for the Saturated Models of Hazard Rates in Event-History Analysis

Kazuo Yamaguchi

Optimal Search with Learning

Sushil Bikhchandani, Sunil Sharma

Pattern-Mixture Models for Multivariate Incomplete Data

Roderick J. A. Little

Pediatric Pain, Predictive Inference and Sensitivity Analysis

Robert E. Weiss

Post-Stratification: A Modeler's Perspective

Roderick J. A. Little

Probabilistic Evaluation of Counterfactual Queries

Alexander Balke, Judea Pearl

Properties of Modelling the Error Distribution with An Extra Shape Parameter

Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Questioning Multilevel Models

Ita G. G. Kreft

Reading Formatted Input in X-LISP STAT

Jan de Leeuw

Regression Analysis with an Unknown Link Function: the Adjoint Projection Pursuit Regression

Naihua Duan

Regression with Missing X's: A Review

Roderick J. A. Little

Report on Predicting Enrollment for ELS

Amy Biesteryfeld

Residuals and Outliers in Random Effects Models

Robert E. Weiss

Review of DOT's Taxicab Service Level Evaluation Procedure

Jan de Leeuw

Richness Curves for Evaluating Market Segmentation

Thomas P. Novak, Jan de Leeuw, and Bruce MacEvoy

Robust Statistical Modeling Using the t- Distribution

Kenneth Lange, Roderick J. A. Little, and Taylor

Robustness of G (and D)-efficiencies to Polynomial Model Assumptions

Weng-Kee Wong

Scaling Corrections for Statistics in Covariance Structure Analysis

Albert Satorra, Peter Bentler

Selection and Predictive Validity with Latent Variable Structure

Bengt O. Muthén, Jin-Wen Yang Hsu

Slicing Regression: A Link-free Regression Method

Ker-Chau Li

Slicing Regression: Dimension Reduction via Inverse Regression

Ker-Chau Li

Smoothing Longitudinal Data Using Piecewise Cubic Polynomials

Yongxiao Wang, Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Some Generalizations of Correspondence Analysis

Jan de Leeuw

Some Models for the Analysis of Asymmetric Association in Square Contingency Tables with Ordered Categories

Kazuo Yamaguchi

Statistical Consultant for a Day

Donald Ylvisaker

Statistical Models for Analyzing Time-to-Occurrence Data in Radiobiology and Radiation Oncology

Jeremy M. G. Taylor, Dong K. Kim

Statistics and the Sciences

Jan de Leeuw

Stochastic Dominance Under Bayesian Learning

Sushil Bikhchandani, Uzi Segal, and Sunil Sharma

Stochastic Microenvironment Models for Air Pollution Exposure

Naihua Duan

Teaching Biostatistics to Postgraduate Students in Public Health

Peter A. Lachenbruch

Testing the Assumptions Underlying Tetrachoric Correlations

Bengt O. Muthén, Charlie Hofacker

The Accuracy of the Stability of Perimeter Estimates of the Endogenous Feedback Model for Contextual Analysis

Chih-Ping Chou, Leigh Burstein

The Convergence Assumption: A Fatal Flaw in Clustering Procedures

Dwight W. Read

The Death Penalty and the Role of Chance

Richard Berk, Robert Weiss

The Differential Deterrent Effects of An Arrest in Incidents of Domestic Violence: A Bayesian Analysis of Four Randomized Field Experiments

Richard Berk, Alec Campbell, Ruth Klap, and Bruce Western

The Effects of Different Forms of Centering in Hierarchical Linear Models

Jan de Leeuw

The Performance of Tests When Observations Have Different Variances

Peter A. Lachenbruch

The Relation Between Input and Output Variables in Various Groups of Individuals

Ita G. G. Kreft

The Strange Case of Surge and Decline

James Denardo

Three Statistical Puzzles

Judea Pearl

Trends in Health Statistics and the Spiegelman Award

Peter A. Lachenbruch

Universal Formulas for Treatment Effects from Noncompliance Data

Judea Pearl

Variable Bandwidth Kaplan-Meier Estimate

Dorota M. Dabrowska

What Your Mother Never Told You About Randomized Field Experiments

Richard Berk

When Can Association Graphs Admit a Causal Interpretation?

Judea Pearl, Nanny Wermuth

When Random Assignment Fails: Some Lessons from the Minneapolis Spouse Abuse Experiment

Richard Berk